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The new «world disorder»
The new «world disorder»
Looking at the news headlines one thing becomes apparently clear: there is no stability and the rules and logic of ongoing systems are no longer clear. The international players are breaking once established rules and in the process sowing disorder.
After the devastating World War I, the League of Nations was established with the main purpose of maintaining peace to prevent a repeat of the human tragedy. The League proved absolutely incapable of carrying out the burden of its mission. It was due to numerous problems and factors including the lack of regulatory mechanisms, the «games» of the Great Powers and the pursuit of their own interests that undermined the legitimacy of League of Nations’ decisions and of the whole organization.
World War II shacked once more the foundations of humankind. The
United Nations was founded on the ruins of the
There is no use in delving into the depths of history. There were different pages in that period of time, even when the world was on the brink of a nuclear catastrophe. However, the United Nations was a strong regulatory instrument: its authority and power were apparent during the Cold War.
But since the collapse of the Soviet Union and the downfall of the bipolar system of checks and balances, the situation has changed. The foundations of the United Nations have cracked under the blows of different international players who found it possible to act with no respect for the rules or the existing system, seeking solely to fulfill their interests.
The state of the present system
The power of the United Nations is fading. This becomes remarkably
apparent when analyzing the ongoing international campaign in Iraq and
Realpolitik, the notorious «power politics», conditioned by exclusively national interests and ambitions, is back despite all claims and assurances of good intentions. The old contradictory postulates of the international law and the lack of clear treatments of several key system elements are becoming more and more dangerous, producing deep fissures in the international system, as the parties twist the laws for their own sake.
The Crimean crisis and earlier the Kosovo crisis have made it clear enough to become nervous about the future of the international system as there are many cleavage lines on the world’s geopolitical map which could start to collide unpredictably and without any restriction, lacking reliable and confidential institutions and laws.
The rise of tensions between two truly great powers that worsen with the increasingly sharp and tough, often irrelevant, speeches and declarations from both sides utterly shatters the hope for stability in the near and midterm period. There is no communication between the players, no dialogue — just monologues fading in the vacuum of mistrust. In the world of the 21st century it is barbaric to talk to each other from the position of force — to oppress. Equal dialogue is the only way to regulate conflicts and disputes and the players should adopt this style of interaction. Unfortunately, they are unlikely to do so at the present time.
What can the described situation lead to?
This new world disorder, when the temptation to launch
There are two possibilities: The first one is that in the critical moment all the parties will take a pause, stop talking and listen to the silence. This hypothetical moment means that for once all parties will stop wrangling. Too much is said now by politicians and the media, allowing for unrestricted and total information warfare. It’s high time for some silence. We should push the «pause» button and then the «reload» button, otherwise the «reload» will once more transform into «overload» and the war, the «third» one, which is the second scenario, will become the most plausible reality we will face.
Does humanity only need tragedies to sober up?
Maria Dubovikova is a
«Говорят эксперты МГИМО», может не совпадать с мнением редакции портала.