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Republicans vs. Russia: What’s the next chapter?
Republicans vs. Russia: What’s the next chapter?
The Democrats have been defeated by the Republicans in the
It’s evident, that the U.S. will become much more involved abroad, and first of all in the Middle East. Obama was criticized for his policy on the fight against ISIS and due to the manner in which the U.S. leads the coalition. He was criticized for apparently playing footsie with Iran, he was also criticized for the worsening of relations with Israel. The indecisiveness of Obama during the first half of his second term risks turning into excessive decisiveness under the pressure of the Republicans.
On the November 5, Ron Paul, former Republican congressman, commented on the issue via Twitter, saying that «Republican control of the Senate [means] expanded neocon wars in Syria and Iraq. Boots on the ground are coming». On Friday, after the informal lunch with the leaders of the victorious Republican party, President Barak Obama approved sending up to 1,500 more troops to Iraq. This will double the number of the U.S. force deployed on the Iraqi ground. The main goal, according to the America’s officials, is to retrain the Iraqi forces in their fight against ISIS forces, as well as to train three Kurdish Peshmerga brigades. Rear Admiral John Kirby was quoted by the media as saying: «It is being done now because the Iraqis have reached, they have demonstrated, the willingness and the skills to go after ISIS, so they have reached the point, where they need additional help and guidance». However, it remains unclear what role these mostly «training mission» forces will play as the years of U.S. military advisers and troops in Iraq apparently did not contribute much to the forming of efficient Iraqi forces. It seems most likely that sooner or later the U.S. forces will be involved in a full scale land battle.
Moreover, willingness to decrease the consequences of the Democrat’s failure for the remainder of his presidency, it seems, that Obama is trying to forestall the possible demands and pressure from the Republican side. So on Wednesday he declared his intention to engage Congress over a new Authorization to use military force against ISIS, under the pretext that the U.S. military forces deserve the U.S.’s political unified support.
The victory of the Republicans in the midterm elections was rather
expected so the interview given to the
At the same time, during the Saturday meeting
of Russia’s Minister of Foreign Affairs Sergei Lavrov and the
Toughening voice of the U.S.
Moreover, the positions of the most Republicans and specially of those like McCain, who certainly will influence the toughening voice of the U.S., are even more polarized with Russian ones and apparently have even less friendly sentiments towards Russia and could have little political will for an effective dialogue.
At the same time, Russia stands strong on Syria, even despite the
ongoing development of relations with some Middle Eastern powers that are
Following the latest trends in the global agenda and a change of layouts, we are entering the most complicated period of the modern period of history. The Middle East will face the strengthening involvement in its fate, as well as U.S. boots back on the ground of Iraq. What is more is that if the worst apprehensions over the toughening stance of the U.S. become reality, Syria will become a true geopolitical battlefield of the U.S. and Russia. The changes would also dramatically affect the nuclear talks with Iran as well and some other tough issues of the dramatically complex regional agenda.
If the Russian side delivers the weaponry Damascus demands, this will freeze and worsen already strained relations between the U.S. and Russia as well as Russia’s ties with the West, at least over the Middle East agenda. What is more is that this would change the balance of power in the region, that would lead to unpredictable consequences. Any U.S. violation of commitments would have the same unpredictable consequences. It would be much better if what is going on in the region now — the international coalition’s jurisdiction and the limits of permissible — would be sanctioned and controlled by the United Nations. This would help the world avoid the thoughtless steps of the international players and their inevitable consequences.
Maria Dubovikova is a
«Говорят эксперты МГИМО», может не совпадать с мнением редакции портала.